Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 10.683746 11.855760 13.116400 14.575399 16.220212 18.020231 20.143481
2025-08-31 8.754716 10.345800 12.182526 14.468830 17.251235 20.543521 24.757795
2025-09-07 7.598835 9.463918 11.748805 14.775609 18.712126 23.702234 30.576596
2025-09-14 6.569689 8.547373 11.093821 14.650064 19.546977 26.138975 35.831011
2025-09-21 5.718267 7.720165 10.409480 14.340251 20.029374 28.105194 40.692042
2025-09-28 5.105928 7.122199 9.934608 14.216392 20.699221 30.359375 46.251691
2025-10-05 4.783547 6.881135 9.913084 14.712692 22.302697 34.161034 54.739416
2025-10-12 4.494953 6.648912 9.864946 15.141544 23.829039 38.016760 63.913812
2025-10-19 4.167115 6.317826 9.622736 15.221583 24.780789 41.034121 72.113748
2025-10-26 3.838478 5.949573 9.278638 15.084358 25.330979 43.411253 79.511654
2025-11-02 3.537731 5.595400 8.918218 14.870429 25.704740 45.498284 86.670252
2025-11-09 3.261528 5.255271 8.546136 14.589423 25.910798 47.281186 93.492304
2025-11-16 3.024928 4.966654 8.243782 14.416660 26.328369 49.587197 101.964328
2025-11-23 2.830257 4.733344 8.016130 14.356559 26.956576 52.406321 112.112398
2025-11-30 2.712809 4.624198 7.996889 14.683706 28.389138 57.081918 127.408910
2025-12-07 2.543871 4.408406 7.763861 14.570412 28.905510 59.884495 138.845824
2025-12-14 2.366466 4.162561 7.452999 14.268020 28.982239 61.723818 148.267232
2025-12-21 2.229009 3.979435 7.243829 14.147585 29.431956 64.466677 160.582211
2025-12-28 2.175677 3.950262 7.327484 14.642576 31.311816 70.857564 184.173083
2026-01-04 2.117412 3.906472 7.377566 15.069839 33.092326 77.297717 209.476089
2026-01-11 2.026507 3.791484 7.274322 15.149813 34.061757 81.850010 230.330614
2026-01-18 1.921157 3.639864 7.083478 15.013495 34.487387 85.052510 247.816038
2026-01-25 1.816756 3.482749 6.868725 14.800786 34.695888 87.706923 264.218963